MX23RW : Sunday, April 6 18:53:27| >> :600:1403798:1403798:
Port Vale
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Rotherham logo

Port Vale
1 - 2
Rotherham

Benning (81')
Smith (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rathbone (8'), Ogbene (45+4')
Bramall (78'), Rathbone (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Port Vale and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Rotherham United

Rotherham United may rest some key players and a trip to Vale Park should pose a tough test, but we ultimately see Warne's side coming through the challenge and progressing to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rotherham United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rotherham United.

Result
Port ValeDrawRotherham United
32.91% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 26.69% (0.225 0.22) 40.41% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-0.701 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.903 -0.9)53.51% (0.905 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.768 -0.77)75.03% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.411 -0.41)30.49% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.492 -0.49)66.71% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.565 -0.56)26.02% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-0.768 -0.77)61.05% (0.768 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 32.91%
    Rotherham United 40.4%
    Draw 26.68%
Port ValeDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.91%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.19% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.4%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Rotherham

Port Vale
Draw
Rotherham United
Port Vale
38.5%
Draw
19.2%
Rotherham United
42.3%
52
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Rotherham
1-1
Port Vale
Rotherham win 5-3 on penalties
Smith (56')
Amoo (87')
Apr 21, 2014 3pm
Dec 29, 2013 3pm
Port Vale
2-0
Rotherham
Dodds (8'), Tomlin (68')
Duffy (24'), Griffith (45'), Shuker (90')

O'Connor (32'), Arnason (66'), Pringle (82')
Davis (54')
Dec 26, 2012 3pm
Rotherham
1-2
Port Vale
Agard (83')
O'Connor (23'), Revell (90')
Dodds (56'), Pope (63')
Loft (34'), Dodds (39'), Pope (58'), Duffy (86')
Sep 8, 2012 3pm
Port Vale
6-2
Rotherham
Dodds (5'), Vincent (28'), Pope (16', 21', 68', 78')
Duffy (10')
O'Connor (31'), Nardiello (54' pen.)
Hunt (4'), O'Connor (62'), Morgan (83')
rhs 2.0
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5Manchester CityMan City31157957401752
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7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle29155949391050
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31121184947247
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Crystal Palace30111093935443
12Brentford31126135147442
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd31108133741-438
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs311141658451337
15Everton31714103338-535
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3198143552-1735
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3195174359-1632
18Ipswich TownIpswich3148193165-3420
19Leicester CityLeicester3045212567-4217
20Southampton3124252374-5110


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