Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup

Port Vale
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Rotherham logo

Port Vale
1 - 2
Rotherham

Benning (81')
Smith (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rathbone (8'), Ogbene (45+4')
Bramall (78'), Rathbone (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Port Vale and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

Last Six:
Last Game: Exeter 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Rotherham United

Last Six:
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rotherham United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rotherham United.

Result
Port ValeDrawRotherham United
32.91% (0.063000000000002 0.06)26.69% (0.225 0.22)40.41% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-0.701 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.903 -0.9)53.51% (0.905 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.768 -0.77)75.03% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.411 -0.41)30.49% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.492 -0.49)66.71% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.565 -0.56)26.02% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-0.768 -0.77)61.05% (0.768 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 32.91%
    Rotherham United 40.4%
    Draw 26.68%
Port ValeDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.91%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.19% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.4%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Rotherham

Port Vale
38.5%
Draw
19.2%
Rotherham United
42.3%
52
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Rotherham
1-1
Port Vale
 Rotherham win 5-3 on penalties
Smith (56')
Amoo (87')
Apr 21, 2014 3pm
Rotherham
1-0
Port Vale
Agard (79')
O'Connor (64'), Pringle (90')
Smallwood (45')

Dickinson (61')
Dec 29, 2013 3pm
Port Vale
2-0
Rotherham
Dodds (8'), Tomlin (68')
Duffy (24'), Griffith (45'), Shuker (90')

O'Connor (32'), Arnason (66'), Pringle (82')
Davis (54')
Dec 26, 2012 3pm
Rotherham
1-2
Port Vale
Agard (83')
O'Connor (23'), Revell (90')
Dodds (56'), Pope (63')
Loft (34'), Dodds (39'), Pope (58'), Duffy (86')
Sep 8, 2012 3pm
Port Vale
6-2
Rotherham
Dodds (5'), Vincent (28'), Pope (16', 21', 68', 78')
Duffy (10')
O'Connor (31'), Nardiello (54' pen.)
Hunt (4'), O'Connor (62'), Morgan (83')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!