EFL Cup
Aug 10, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Vale Park
  • Nathan Smith 44' yellowcard
  • Malvind Benning 81' goal
  • goal Oliver Rathbone 8'
  • goal Chiedozie Ogbene 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Cohen Bramall 78'
  • yellowcard Oliver Rathbone 90'+2'

Port Vale vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Rotherham United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rotherham United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rotherham United.

Result

Port Vale 32.91% (+0.07)
Draw 26.69% (+0.23)
Rotherham United 40.41% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.42% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.49% (-0.91)
Under 2.5 53.51% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 24.97% (-0.77)
Under 3.5 75.03% (+0.77)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 69.51% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 30.49% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 33.29% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 66.71% (+0.50)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 73.98% (-0.57)
Under 0.5 26.02% (+0.57)
Over 1.5 38.95% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 61.05% (+0.77)

Score analysis

Port Vale 32.91%
Draw 26.68%
Rotherham United 40.4%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 9.42% (+0.23)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.6% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.93% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.11)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.68%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 10.68% (+0.21)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 7.19% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.09)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.4%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Nov 30, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Michael Smith 56' goal
  • goal David Amoo 87'
League One
Apr 21, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richard Smallwood 45' redcard
  • Michael O'Connor 64' yellowcard
  • Kieran Agard 79' goal
  • Ben Pringle 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Dickinson 61'
League One
Dec 29, 2013 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Louis Dodds 8' goal
  • Richard Duffy 24' yellowcard
  • Anthony Griffith 45' yellowcard
  • Gavin Tomlin 68' goal
  • Chris Shuker 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael O'Connor 32'
  • redcard Claude Davis 54'
  • yellowcard Kari Arnason 66'
  • yellowcard Ben Pringle 82'
League Two
Dec 26, 2012 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael O'Connor 23' yellowcard
  • Keiran Agard 83' goal
  • Alex Revell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Doug Loft 34'
  • yellowcard Louis Dodds 39'
  • goal Louis Dodds 56'
  • yellowcard Tom Pope 58'
  • goal Tom Pope 63'
  • yellowcard Richard Duffy 86'
League Two
Sep 8, 2012 3.00pm
6
2
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Louis Dodds 5' goal
  • Richard Duffy 10' yellowcard
  • Tom Pope 16' goal
  • Tom Pope 21' goal
  • Ashley Vincent 28' goal
  • Tom Pope 68' goal
  • Tom Pope 78' goal
  • yellowcard Nicky Hunt 4'
  • goal Michael O'Connor 31'
  • goal Daniel Nardiello 54'
  • yellowcard Michael O'Connor 62'
  • yellowcard Craig Morgan 83'
League Two
Jan 21, 2012 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Marc Richards 57'
  • yellowcard Doug Loft 82'