MX23RW : Wednesday, April 2 23:30:50| >> :600:1074842:1074842:
Port Vale
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Rotherham logo

Port Vale
1 - 2
Rotherham

Benning (81')
Smith (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rathbone (8'), Ogbene (45+4')
Bramall (78'), Rathbone (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Port Vale and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Rotherham United

Rotherham United may rest some key players and a trip to Vale Park should pose a tough test, but we ultimately see Warne's side coming through the challenge and progressing to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rotherham United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rotherham United.

Result
Port ValeDrawRotherham United
32.91% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 26.69% (0.225 0.22) 40.41% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-0.701 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.903 -0.9)53.51% (0.905 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.768 -0.77)75.03% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.411 -0.41)30.49% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.492 -0.49)66.71% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.565 -0.56)26.02% (0.566 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-0.768 -0.77)61.05% (0.768 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 32.91%
    Rotherham United 40.4%
    Draw 26.68%
Port ValeDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.91%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.19% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.4%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Rotherham

Port Vale
Draw
Rotherham United
Port Vale
38.5%
Draw
19.2%
Rotherham United
42.3%
52
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Rotherham
1-1
Port Vale
Rotherham win 5-3 on penalties
Smith (56')
Amoo (87')
Apr 21, 2014 3pm
Dec 29, 2013 3pm
Port Vale
2-0
Rotherham
Dodds (8'), Tomlin (68')
Duffy (24'), Griffith (45'), Shuker (90')

O'Connor (32'), Arnason (66'), Pringle (82')
Davis (54')
Dec 26, 2012 3pm
Rotherham
1-2
Port Vale
Agard (83')
O'Connor (23'), Revell (90')
Dodds (56'), Pope (63')
Loft (34'), Dodds (39'), Pope (58'), Duffy (86')
Sep 8, 2012 3pm
Port Vale
6-2
Rotherham
Dodds (5'), Vincent (28'), Pope (16', 21', 68', 78')
Duffy (10')
O'Connor (31'), Nardiello (54' pen.)
Hunt (4'), O'Connor (62'), Morgan (83')
rhs 2.0
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5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
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7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham3012994440445
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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