MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 02:30:57| >> :600:2867121:2867121:
MK Dons
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Sutton United

MK Dons
1 - 0
Sutton

Grant (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between MK Dons and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: MK Dons 1-0 Sutton United

Given their respective form, this has the makings of being a closely-fought contest. However, while Sutton will relish the chance to compete against a higher-profile club, we expect the home side to edge this game by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawSutton United
50.77% (0.0049999999999955 0) 24.96% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 51.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01)51.17% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)73.01% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)52.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)72.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 50.76%
    Sutton United 24.27%
    Draw 24.96%
MK DonsDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 50.76%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.27%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Sutton

MK Dons
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Sutton United
14.3%
14
rhs 2.0
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3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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