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EFL Cup

MK Dons
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Sutton United

MK Dons
1 - 0
Sutton

Grant (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between MK Dons and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

Last Six:
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Sutton United

Last Six:
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Sutton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawSutton United
50.77% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.96% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)24.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 51.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01)51.17% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)73.01% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)52.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)72.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 50.76%
    Sutton United 24.27%
    Draw 24.96%
MK DonsDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 50.76%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.27%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Sutton

MK Dons
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Sutton United
14.3%
14