MX23RW : Tuesday, April 16 16:59:10| >> :600:3973526:3973526:
MK Dons
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Sutton United

MK Dons
1 - 0
Sutton

Grant (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between MK Dons and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: MK Dons 1-0 Sutton United

Given their respective form, this has the makings of being a closely-fought contest. However, while Sutton will relish the chance to compete against a higher-profile club, we expect the home side to edge this game by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawSutton United
50.77% (0.0049999999999955 0) 24.96% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 51.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01)51.17% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)73.01% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)52.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)72.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 50.76%
    Sutton United 24.27%
    Draw 24.96%
MK DonsDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 50.76%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.27%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Sutton

MK Dons
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Sutton United
14.3%
14
rhs 2.0
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3Liverpool32218372314171
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5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
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7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham33139115258-648
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32127134651-543
12Fulham33126154951-242
13Bournemouth32119124757-1042
14Crystal Palace3289153754-1733
15Brentford3388174758-1132
16Everton3298153248-1627
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3379174258-1626
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19Burnley3348213368-3520
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3237223084-5416


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