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EFL Cup

Rochdale
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Burton Albion

Rochdale
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Ball (86' pen.), Rodney (90+4')
Diagouraga (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Powell (30'), Onyango (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Rochdale and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

Last Six:
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Burton Albion

Last Six:
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawBurton Albion
39.57% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)26.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.12% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.93% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.29% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.64% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (-0.012 -0.01)60.54% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 39.57%
    Burton Albion 34.12%
    Draw 26.3%
RochdaleDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.57%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Burton Albion

Rochdale
57.1%
Burton Albion
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Rochdale
0-2
Burton Albion

Baah (40'), O'Connell (90+2')
Rathbone (77')
Hemmings (65'), Akins (86')
Clare (75'), Smith (78')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Rochdale

O'Toole (35')
Lund (49')
Roberts (50')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Rochdale
P-P
Burton Albion
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Rochdale
Edwards (11'), Akins (18' pen.), Boyce (82')
Camps (2')
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Rochdale
0-4
Burton Albion

Williams (29'), Camps (35'), Rathbone (62')
Harness (19', 30', 86'), Boyce (78')
Hutchinson (50')
rhs 2.0


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