League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
3 - 0
Rochdale

Wakeling (1'), Williams (50'), McKirdy (81')
Khan (41'), Gladwin (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (66'), Brierley (90+1')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Stockport County	4	-2	3
19	Swindon Town	4	-3	3
20	Gillingham	4	-6	3

Rochdale

Last Six:

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Crawley Town	4	-3	1
23	Newport County	4	-4	1
24	Rochdale	4	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Rochdale
51.45% ( 3.91)	25.12% ( -0.78)	23.42% ( -3.13)

Both teams to score 49.84% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.47% (

0.64)

52.52% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81% (

0.54)

74.19% (

-0.54)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.58% (

1.95)

20.42% (

-1.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.14% (

52.85% (

-3)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.62% (

-2.39)

37.38% (

2.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.84% (

-2.43)

74.16% (

2.43)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 51.45%

Rochdale 23.43%

Draw 25.12%

Swindon Town	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.72) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.62% Total : 51.45%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.71) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.62) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.3) Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.43%