League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jacob Wakeling 1' goal
  • Saido Khan 41' yellowcard
  • Jonny Williams 50' goal
  • Ben Gladwin 76' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 81' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Nelson 66'
  • yellowcard Ethan Brierley 90'+1'

Swindon Town vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Swindon 1 - 1 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jonny Williams

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Stevenage 1 - 0 Rochdale
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Devante Rodney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result

Swindon Town 51.45% (+3.92)
Draw 25.12% (-0.79)
Rochdale 23.42% (-3.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.84% (-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.47% (+0.64)
Under 2.5 52.52% (-0.64)
Over 3.5 25.81% (+0.55)
Under 3.5 74.19% (-0.55)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.58% (+1.95)
Under 0.5 20.42% (-1.95)
Over 1.5 47.14% (+3.01)
Under 1.5 52.85% (-3.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 62.62% (-2.39)
Under 0.5 37.38% (+2.39)
Over 1.5 25.84% (-2.43)
Under 1.5 74.16% (+2.43)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 51.45%
Draw 25.12%
Rochdale 23.43%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 12.12% (+0.40)
2-0 @ 9.63% (+0.86)
2-1 @ 9.48% (+0.27)
3-0 @ 5.1% (+0.72)
3-1 @ 5.02% (+0.42)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.03% (+0.39)
4-1 @ 1.99% (+0.28)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 51.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.38)
0-0 @ 7.63% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.12%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.71)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.60)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.62)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.34)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.30)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 23.43%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jeriel Dorsett 12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 55'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ben Gladwin 37' goal
  • Jayden Mitchell-Lawson 82' yellowcard
  • Jonny Williams 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Corey O'Keeffe 13'
  • yellowcard Eoghan O'Connell 45'+1'
  • goal George Broadbent 57'
  • goal Liam Kelly 79'
League One Gameweek 38
Apr 13, 2021 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Jimmy Keohane 12' goal
  • Conor Grant 64' goal
  • Gabriel Osho 74' yellowcard
  • goal Jordon Garrick 88'
League One Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT The Energy Check County Ground
  • Tyler Smith 4' goal
  • Anthony Grant 33' goal
  • Matt Smith 41' goal
  • Diallang Jaiyesimi 46' yellowcard
  • Brett Pitman 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Lund 89'
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 90'+3'
League One
Nov 19, 2016 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Oliver Rathbone 22' yellowcard
  • Joe Bunney 29' goal
  • Joe Bunney 30' yellowcard
  • Matthew Lund 55' goal
  • Steven Davies 57' goal
  • Steven Davies 66' goal
  • yellowcard Anton Rodgers 25'
  • yellowcard John Goddard 31'
  • yellowcard Raphael Branco 54'
League One
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Darnell Furlong 24' goal
  • Nathan Delfouneso 32' goal
  • Nathan Delfouneso 45' yellowcard
  • Darnell Furlong 72' yellowcard
  • Nathan Thompson 80' goal
  • yellowcard Keith Keane 48'
  • yellowcard Calvin Andrew 52'
  • redcard Joe Bunney 72'
  • yellowcard Callum Camps 77'
  • yellowcard Andy Cannon 79'