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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Leyton Orient

Swindon
1 - 1
Leyton Orient

McKirdy (4')
Wakeling (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smyth (7')
El Mizouni (71'), James (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Leyton Orient.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawLeyton Orient
49.08% (-0.251 -0.25)26.16% (0.032 0.03)24.76% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 48.18% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.62% (0.049999999999997 0.05)55.38% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (0.043000000000003 0.04)76.58% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)22.61% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.78% (-0.134 -0.13)56.22% (0.13699999999999 0.14)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (0.22799999999999 0.23)37.75% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (0.221 0.22)74.52% (-0.22 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 49.07%
    Leyton Orient 24.76%
    Draw 26.16%
Swindon TownDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 12.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 49.07%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 24.76%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Leyton Orient
Davison (78')
Barry (37'), O'Brien (38')
Beckles (20', 54')
Kyprianou (18'), Ogie (37'), Pratley (37'), Archibald (38'), Brown (89')
Kyprianou (24')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Leyton Orient
4-1
Swindon
Drinan (19', 60'), Smith (64', 82')
Clay (12'), Kemp (45+2'), Beckles (56'), Ogie (76')
McKirdy (42')
McKirdy (64'), Reed (83'), (83')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-3
Swindon
Maguire-Drew (74')
Angol (38'), Gorman (77'), Ling (93')
Anderson (23'), Widdowson (43' og.), Yates (45')
Anderson (87')
May 3, 2015 12.15pm
Swindon
2-2
Leyton Orient
Rodgers (61'), Williams (86' pen.)
Stephens (65'), Williams (68')
Belford (20')
Cox (40'), Dagnall (47')
Baudry (60')