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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Rochdale

Stevenage
1 - 0
Rochdale

Piergianni (41')
Roberts (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ball (66'), Seriki (81')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Stevenage and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
StevenageDrawRochdale
36.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.07%35.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.47% (0.002999999999993 0)58.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.9% (0.0019999999999989 0)79.1% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43%30.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.8% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)67.87% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 36.68%
    Rochdale 35.24%
    Draw 28.07%
StevenageDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 36.68%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.63%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 11.12%
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.24%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Rochdale
2-2
Stevenage
Beesley (4'), Andrews (35')
Kelly (90')
List (27', 47')
Melbourne (74'), Read (89'), Cuthbert (90+4')
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Rochdale
1-5
Stevenage
Ormerod (52')
Widdowson (26')
Widdowson (56')
Wilson (46', 53'), Byrom (66'), Freeman (18', 58')
Wilson (90')
Sep 3, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
4-2
Rochdale
Beardsley (30', 45'), Reid (13')
Reid (53')
Jones (28'), Ball (71')
Jones (31')