EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 8pm UK

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Reading
1 - 2
Stevenage

Ehibhaimha (63')
Abretti (42'), Ehibhaimha (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Earley (10'), Rose (89')
Earley (38'), Campbell (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Reading and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

Last Six:

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Cardiff
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Millwall	2	0	3
11	Reading	2	0	3
12	Stoke City	2	0	3

Stevenage

Last Six:

Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Barrow	2	2	6
5	Stevenage	2	2	6
6	AFC Wimbledon	2	2	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Stevenage
28.94% ( -0.01)	25.73% ( -0)	45.33% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.93% (

-0)

51.07% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.08% (

-0)

72.92% (

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98% (

-0)

32.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.51% (

-0.01)

68.49% (

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51% (

22.49% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.96% (

56.04% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Reading 28.94%

Stevenage 45.33%

Draw 25.72%

Reading	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.94%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.33%