Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (9.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.