Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (10.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Sporting Gijon
29.26% ( 0.05)	28.04% ( 0.04)	42.7% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 46.09% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.38% (

-0.11)

59.62% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.05% (

-0.09)

79.95% (

0.09)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69% (

-0.02)

36.31% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.91% (

-0.02)

73.09% (

0.02)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.37% (

-0.1)

27.63% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82% (

-0.13)

63.17% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Leganes 29.25%

Sporting Gijon 42.7%

Draw 28.03%

Leganes	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 29.25%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 42.7%