Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.