/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fvallog.png)
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Koke
17'
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Marc Pubill
32'
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Marc Pubill
33'
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Alexander Sorloth
42'
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Antoine Griezmann
74'
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Diego Simeone
88'
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Antoine Griezmann
90'
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Thiago Almada
90'
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Diego Simeone
90'
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Lucas Beltran
63'
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Hugo Duro
88'
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 67.43%. A draw had a probability of 19.06% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%) , while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result
Atletico Madrid
67.43%
Draw
19.06%
Valencia
13.51%
Both Teams to Score:
50.65%
Goals
Over 2.5
57.94%
Under 2.5
42.06%
Over 3.5
35.54%
Under 3.5
64.47%
Over 4.5
18.67%
Under 4.5
81.33%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
88.49%
Under 0.5
11.51%
Over 1.5
63.6%
Under 1.5
36.4%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5
57.24%
Under 0.5
42.76%
Over 1.5
20.92%
Under 1.5
79.09%
Score analysis
Atletico Madrid
67.43%
Draw
19.06%
Valencia
13.51%
Atletico Madrid
2-0
@
11.5%
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 7.04%
4-0 @ 4.48%
4-1 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 2.99%
5-0 @ 1.94%
5-1 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 67.43%
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 7.04%
4-0 @ 4.48%
4-1 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 2.99%
5-0 @ 1.94%
5-1 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 67.43%
Draw
1-1
@
9.04%
0-0 @ 4.92%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 19.06%
0-0 @ 4.92%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 19.06%
Valencia
0-1
@
4.18%
1-2 @ 3.84%
0-2 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.18%
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 13.51%
1-2 @ 3.84%
0-2 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.18%
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 13.51%