Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TPS win with a probability of 67.59%. A win for EuPa had a probability of 16.58% and a draw had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a TPS win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest EuPa win was 2-1 (3.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.