Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 57.06%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (5.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.