Club Friendlies 3
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Matias Abaldo
61'
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Santiago Gabriel Montiel
67'
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Alan Martin Cantero
57'
Independiente vs Alianza Lima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 29.33% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (14.05%) , while for a Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result
Independiente
48.81%
Draw
29.33%
Alianza Lima
21.92%
Both Teams to Score:
44.26%
Goals
Over 1.5
65.51%
Under 1.5
34.49%
Over 2.5
38.28%
Under 2.5
61.72%
Over 3.5
17.74%
Under 3.5
82.26%
Over 4.5
8.73%
Under 4.5
91.27%
First Half Winner
Independiente
33.36%
Draw
47.59%
Alianza Lima
19.06%
Team To Score First
Independiente
55.79%
No Goal
10.91%
Alianza Lima
33.3%
Corners
Over 8
42.93%
Equal 8
12.28%
Under 8
44.79%
Over 9
31.8%
Equal 9
11.13%
Under 9
57.07%
Over 10.5
22.52%
Under 10.5
77.48%
Independiente Goals
Over 1.5
39.06%
Under 1.5
60.94%
Over 2.5
14.88%
Under 2.5
85.12%
Over 3.5
4.52%
Under 3.5
95.48%
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5
55.64%
Under 0.5
44.36%
Over 1.5
19.5%
Under 1.5
80.5%
Over 2.5
4.79%
Under 2.5
95.21%
Over 3.5
1.03%
Under 3.5
98.97%
Score analysis
Independiente
48.81%
Draw
29.34%
Alianza Lima
21.92%
Independiente
1-0
@
15.03%
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 48.81%
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 48.81%
Draw
1-1
@
14.05%
0-0 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.34%
0-0 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.34%
Alianza Lima
0-1
@
8.62%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 21.92%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 21.92%