Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.