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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 28, 2025 at 11.30am UK
 
Hellas Verona logo

AC Milan
vs.
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between AC Milan and Hellas Verona.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 AC Milan
Thursday, December 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw has a probability of 23.06% and a win for Hellas Verona has a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.86%) , while for a Hellas Verona win it is 0-1 (6.16%).

Result
AC MilanDrawHellas Verona
60.38% (0.522 0.52)23.06% (-0.209 -0.21)16.56% (-0.317 -0.32)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.1% (0.304 0.3)52.9% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.49% (0.258 0.26)74.51% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83% (0.291 0.29)17.17% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.58% (0.514 0.51)47.41% (-0.52 -0.52)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.88% (-0.226 -0.23)45.12% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.97% (-0.181 -0.18)81.03% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 60.36%
    Hellas Verona 16.56%
    Draw 23.06%
AC MilanDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 13.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 12.02% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.07% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.11% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 60.36%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 16.56%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 25
AC Milan
1-0
Hellas Verona
Gimenez (75')
Musah (16'), Jimenez (59'), Gimenez (79')

Coppola (11'), Niasse (21'), Bradaric (43'), Duda (50')
> Preview
Dec 20, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Hellas Verona
0-1
AC Milan

Dawidowicz (35')
Reijnders (56')
Emerson (25')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2024 2pm
gameweek 29
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Noslin (64')
Serdar (6'), Baroni (7')
Hernandez (44'), Pulisic (50'), Chukwueze (79')
Tomori (30'), Hernandez (45'), Reijnders (87')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 2pm
gameweek 5
AC Milan
1-0
Hellas Verona
Leao (8')
Thiaw (24'), Musah (58'), Pioli (69+69'), Pulisic (76'), Florenzi (89')

Faraoni (42'), Bonazzoli (55')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
gameweek 38
AC Milan
3-1
Hellas Verona
Giroud (45+2' pen.), Leao (85', 90+2')
Faraoni (72')
> Preview