Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.69% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%) , while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.