Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lazio win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Napoli has a probability of 34.28% and a draw has a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Napoli win is 0-1 (10.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.18%).