Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (9.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.