Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Jan 11, 2026 2.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Luke Brooke-Smith 46' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hughes 56' goal
  • Corban Piper 65' goal
  • Paulo Retre 67' yellowcard
  • Nikola Mileusnic 82' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan White 14'
  • goal Luke Duzel 44'
  • yellowcard Austin Ayoubi 79'
  • yellowcard Jake Najdovski 79'

Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 6.00am
Brisbane Roar 0 - 0 Wellington
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Alex Rufer

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 8.35am
Adelaide United 0 - 0 Central Coast
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Joey Garuccio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 35.83%
Draw 23.11%
Adelaide United 41.06%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.81%
Under 1.5 18.19%
Over 2.5 60.18%
Under 2.5 39.82%
Over 3.5 37.86%
Under 3.5 62.14%
Over 4.5 22.65%
Under 4.5 77.35%

First Half Winner

Wellington Phoenix 27.99%
Draw 40.3%
Adelaide United 31.71%

Team To Score First

Wellington Phoenix 44.3%
No Goal 4.2%
Adelaide United 51.5%

Corners

Over 8 65.03%
Equal 8 10.59%
Under 8 24.38%
Over 9 53.59%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 34.97%
Over 10.5 42.28%
Under 10.5 57.72%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 1.5 40.93%
Under 1.5 59.07%
Over 2.5 17.81%
Under 2.5 82.19%
Over 3.5 6.34%
Under 3.5 93.66%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 75.32%
Under 0.5 24.68%
Over 1.5 45.27%
Under 1.5 54.73%
Over 2.5 21.12%
Under 2.5 78.88%
Over 3.5 7.91%
Under 3.5 92.09%

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 35.82%
Draw 23.11%
Adelaide United 41.05%
Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 7.97%
1-0 @ 6.76%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.47%
Other @ 6.15%
Total : 35.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 4.2%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.11%
Adelaide United
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-1 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 4.73%
2-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 3.16%
Other @ 7.72%
Total : 41.05%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Nov 29, 2025 4.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alex Rufer 13' goal
  • Carlo Armiento 41' yellowcard
  • Ramy Najjarine 52' goal
  • yellowcard Yaya Dukuly 60'
  • goal Joey Garuccio 74'
Australian A-League Gameweek 27
Apr 18, 2025 10.35am
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Panagiotis Kikianis 8' goal
  • Stefan Mauk 12' goal
  • Stefan Mauk 44' yellowcard
  • Panagiotis Kikianis 52' yellowcard
  • Archie Goodwin 89' goal
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 31'
  • goal Isaac Hughes 35'
  • yellowcard Tim Payne 44'
  • yellowcard Luke Brooke-Smith 85'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 11, 2025 4.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Corban Piper 50' goal
  • Kazuki Nagasawa 90' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Sheridan 7' (OG)
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 75'
  • yellowcard Bart Vriends 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovanovic 90'+7'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2024 4.00am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
  • Ben Old 34' goal
  • Ben Old 34' goal
  • Oskar van Hattum 69' goal
  • Oskar van Hattum 69' goal
  • Ben Old 78' goal
  • Ben Old 78' goal
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 54'
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 54'
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 60'
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 60'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Warland 75'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Warland 76'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 90'+2'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 90'+4'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 4, 2024 8.45am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 26' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 37' yellowcard
  • Ryan Tunnicliffe 41' yellowcard
  • Alexandar Popovic 43' yellowcard
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 55' goal
  • Benjamin Warland 83' redcard
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 15'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 46'
  • yellowcard Alex Paulsen 77'
  • yellowcard Oskar van Hattum 90'+2'
Australian A-League
May 5, 2023 10.45am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Craig Goodwin 19' goal
  • Craig Goodwin 67' goal