Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Jan 4, 2026 at 8.35am UK

Adelaide United Adelaide United
vs.
Central Coast Central Coast Mariners

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 3-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, December 27 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 3-1 Central Coast
Sunday, December 21 at 2am in Australian A-League

Next Game: Central Coast vs. Brisbane Roar
Wednesday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Adelaide United win with a probability of 55.82%. A win for Central Coast Mariners has a probability of 23.38% and a draw has a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.24%) and 1-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win is 1-2 (5.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.99%).

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
55.82% ( -0.26)	20.8% ( 0.05)	23.38% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 64.37% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.66% (

-0.02)

33.33% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.89% (

-0.03)

55.11% (

0.02)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.97% (

-0.08)

12.03% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.49% (

-0.17)

37.51% (

0.17)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

0.15)

26.83% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87% (

0.2)

62.13% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 55.82%

Central Coast Mariners 23.38%

Draw 20.8%

Adelaide United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 55.82%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.8%	1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 23.38%