Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tartu Kalev win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Elva had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tartu Kalev win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.43%) and 3-1 (5.31%). The likeliest Elva win was 1-2 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.44%).