Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (9.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.