Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Asteras Tripolis	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
45.31% ( 0.03)	25.61% ( -0.01)	29.09% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.17% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.51% (

0.04)

50.49% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.59% (

0.03)

72.42% (

-0.03)

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

0.03)

22.26% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.31% (

0.04)

55.69% (

-0.04)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39% (

31.62% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.98% (

0.01)

68.02% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Asteras Tripolis 45.31%

Aris Thessaloniki 29.09%

Draw 25.6%

Asteras Tripolis	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 45.31%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.09%