Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.