Conference League | League Stage
Dec 11, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
 
AEK Athens

1-2

Moukoudi (4' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marin (52'), Koita (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Samsunspor and AEK Athens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Samsunspor 0-2 Istanbul
Sunday, December 14 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Next Game: Mainz vs. Samsunspor
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League
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Last Game: Panetolikos 0-5 AEK Athens
Sunday, December 14 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Next Game: AEK Athens vs. U Craiova
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (8.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
SamsunsporDrawAEK Athens
42.17%26.29%31.54%
Both teams to score 52.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71%52.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01%73.99%
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45%24.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97%59.03%
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2%30.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93%67.07%
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 42.16%
    AEK Athens 31.54%
    Draw 26.29%
SamsunsporDrawAEK Athens
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.16%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.91%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 31.54%