Conference League
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harold Moukoudi 4' goal
  • Lubomir Satka 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Razvan Marin 7'
  • yellowcard Petros Mantalos 44'
  • goal Razvan Marin 52'
  • yellowcard Orbelin Pineda 57'
  • goal Aboubakary Koita 63'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovic 76'

Samsunspor vs AEK Athens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 8.00pm
Breidablik 2 - 2 Samsunspor

AEK Athens

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 8.00pm
Fiorentina 0 - 1 AEK Athens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (8.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Samsunspor 42.17%
Draw 26.29%
AEK Athens 31.54%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.21%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.71%
Under 2.5 52.29%
Over 3.5 26.01%
Under 3.5 73.99%
Over 4.5 12%
Under 4.5 87.99%

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 75.45%
Under 0.5 24.55%
Over 1.5 40.97%
Under 1.5 59.03%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 69.2%
Under 0.5 30.8%
Over 1.5 32.93%
Under 1.5 67.07%

Score analysis

Samsunspor 42.16%
Draw 26.29%
AEK Athens 31.54%
Samsunspor
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 5.17%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.29%
AEK Athens
0-1 @ 8.91%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 31.54%