Conference League | League Stage

Dec 18, 2025 at 8pm UK

AEK Athens AEK Athens
3-2
U Craiova Universitatea Craiova

Vida (65'), Kutesa (90+8'), Jovic (90+15' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Baiaram (30'), Cicaldau (59')

Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between AEK Athens and Universitatea Craiova.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

Last Game: AEK Athens 3-2 U Craiova
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Next Game: AEK Athens vs. OFI Crete
Sunday, December 21 at 7pm in Greek Superleague

Universitatea Craiova

Last Game: AEK Athens 3-2 U Craiova
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Next Game: U Craiova vs. Csikszereda
Monday, December 22 at 6pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Universitatea Craiova had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 (6.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
AEK Athens	Draw	Universitatea Craiova
51.5% ( -2.08)	24.24% ( 0.3)	24.25% ( 1.78)

Both teams to score 53.43% (

1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77% (

0.49)

48.22% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

0.45)

70.38% (

-0.45)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.28% (

-0.61)

18.72% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.92% (

-1.03)

50.08% (

1.03)

Universitatea Craiova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

1.88)

34.26% (

-1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.04% (

1.97)

70.96% (

-1.97)

Score Analysis

AEK Athens 51.49%

Universitatea Craiova 24.25%

Draw 24.24%

AEK Athens	Draw	Universitatea Craiova
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.55) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 51.49%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.24%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.25%