Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 79.25%. A draw had a probability of 12.07% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 8.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a ADO Den Haag win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.88%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.81%) , while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.