Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 38.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.35%) and 1-3 (4.83%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.