Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 10
Dec 19, 2025 at 1.45pm UK
 

Damac
vs.
Al-AhliAl-Ahli

Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Damac and Al-Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Damac

All competitions
Last Game: Damac 0-0 Al Najma
Saturday, November 22 at 1.40pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-1 Sharjah
Monday, November 24 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw has a probability of 18.75% and a win for Damac has a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.91%) , while for a Damac win it is 1-0 (4.09%).

Result
DamacDrawAl-Ahli
12.8% (-0.476 -0.48)18.75% (-0.599 -0.6)68.45% (1.072 1.07)
Both teams to score 49.66% (0.622 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.68% (1.553 1.55)42.32% (-1.556 -1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.27% (1.536 1.54)64.72% (-1.539 -1.54)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.99% (0.238 0.24)44.01% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.87% (0.193 0.19)80.13% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.736 0.74)11.31% (-0.74 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.03% (1.584 1.58)35.97% (-1.586 -1.59)
Score Analysis
    Damac 12.8%
    Al-Ahli 68.44%
    Draw 18.75%
DamacDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 4.09% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-1 @ 3.66% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 1.68% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.09% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 12.8%
1-1 @ 8.91% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.354 -0.35)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 18.75%
0-2 @ 11.82% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-1 @ 10.85% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 8.59% (0.167 0.17)
1-3 @ 7.05% (0.183 0.18)
0-4 @ 4.68% (0.224 0.22)
1-4 @ 3.84% (0.208 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.094 0.09)
0-5 @ 2.04% (0.154 0.15)
1-5 @ 1.67% (0.137 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.58% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 68.44%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2025 2.20pm
gameweek 21
Damac
0-2
Al-Ahli

Al-Rashidi (18'), Alkhaibari (87')
Toney (4'), Galeno (90+5')
Al Muwallad (45+3'), Hamidou (73'), Kessie (75'), Sulaiman (80'), Demiral (82'), Ayidh Al Rashidi (90+2'), Mahrez (90+3')
Sep 20, 2024 4.55pm
gameweek 4
Al-Ahli
4-2
Damac
Veiga (13'), Toney (46', 90+16'), Firmino (90+8')
Ibanez (30'), Al-Johani (30'), Veiga (88')
Fallatah (45+9'), Chafai (66')
Fallatah (88'), Alkhaibari (90+5')
May 2, 2024 7pm
gameweek 30
Al-Ahli
4-1
Damac
Al-Johani (7'), Albirakan (10'), Mahrez (19' pen.), Firmino (25')
Antolic (62')
Al Johani (44'), Chafai (70'), Making (83+1'), Making (90+1')
Chafai (77')
Nov 9, 2023 6pm
gameweek 13
Damac
2-2
Al-Ahli
Chafai (73'), Stanciu (90+1')
Hindi (10'), Alnabit (44')
Kessie (38'), Ibanez (90+7'), Hindi (90+6')