Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.43%) and 1-3 (5.4%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.