Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Manchester United Under-21s
59.18% ( 0.22)	21.22% ( 0.2)	19.6% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 56.95% (

-1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.54% (

-1.54)

40.46% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.16% (

-1.61)

62.84% (

1.61)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.64% (

-0.43)

13.35% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.76% (

-0.87)

40.24% (

0.88)

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

-1.31)

34.27% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03% (

-1.43)

70.97% (

1.43)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 59.18%

Manchester United Under-21s 19.6%

Draw 21.22%

Carlisle United	Draw	Manchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 59.18%	1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.22%	1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 19.6%