EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle1 - 2Man Utd U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Carlisle United and Manchester United Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Gillingham
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Bradford City | 6 | 2 | 8 |
11 | Carlisle United | 5 | 1 | 8 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 0 | 8 |
Last Game: Man Utd U21s 2-2 Fulham U21s
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | 4 | -3 | 2 |
12 | Manchester United Under-21s | 4 | -6 | 2 |
13 | West Ham United Under-21s | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
59.18% ( 0.22) | 21.22% ( 0.2) | 19.6% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( -1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.54% ( -1.54) | 40.46% ( 1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.16% ( -1.61) | 62.84% ( 1.61) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.64% ( -0.43) | 13.35% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.76% ( -0.87) | 40.24% ( 0.88) |
Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.73% ( -1.31) | 34.27% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% ( -1.43) | 70.97% ( 1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United 59.18%
Manchester United Under-21s 19.6%
Draw 21.22%
Carlisle United | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 59.18% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 19.6% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-29 03:18:45
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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