EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester
2 - 1
Brighton U21s

Nouble (80'), Sears (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moran (43')
Moran (61')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Colchester United and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

Last Six:

Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	7	-4	7
20	Colchester United	7	-5	5
21	Gillingham	7	-7	5

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester U21s 1-4 Brighton U21s
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Liverpool Under-21s	5	-2	6
10	Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s	5	0	5
11	Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s	5	-5	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 21.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match.

Result
Colchester United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
57.36% ( 0.52)	21.27% ( -0.29)	21.37% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 59.72% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.84% (

1.04)

38.16% (

-1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.57% (

1.09)

60.43% (

-1.1)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.85% (

0.5)

13.15% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.17% (

39.83% (

-1)

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.76% (

0.38)

31.24% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.41% (

0.44)

67.59% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Colchester United 57.36%

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 21.37%

Draw 21.27%

Colchester United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.72% Total : 57.36%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.27%	1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 21.37%