Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 21.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match.