Rochdale
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
1 - 0
Liverpool U21s

Campbell (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Rochdale and Liverpool Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Next Game: Colchester vs. Rochdale
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Next Game: Liverpool U21s vs. Arsenal U21s
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawLiverpool Under-21s
52.73% (-8.864 -8.86)22.74% (2.575 2.58)24.52% (6.292 6.29)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.571 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (-3.657 -3.66)41.33% (3.659 3.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (-3.815 -3.82)63.73% (3.817 3.82)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.28% (-3.923 -3.92)15.72% (3.925 3.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19% (-7.797 -7.8)44.8% (7.8 7.8)
Liverpool Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (3.748 3.75)30.3% (-3.746 -3.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (4.249 4.25)66.48% (-4.247 -4.25)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 52.73%
    Liverpool Under-21s 24.52%
    Draw 22.74%
RochdaleDrawLiverpool Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-1.02 -1.02)
3-1 @ 6% (-1.039 -1.04)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-1.508 -1.51)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.986 -0.99)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-1.168 -1.17)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.37 -0.37)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.581 -0.58)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 52.73%
1-1 @ 10.52% (1.273 1.27)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.487 0.49)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.748 0.75)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 6.28% (1.3 1.3)
0-1 @ 5.69% (1.361 1.36)
0-2 @ 3.4% (1.065 1.07)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.711 0.71)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.401 0.4)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.514 0.51)
Other @ 3%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Liverpool U21s

Rochdale
60.0%
Draw
22.2%
Liverpool Under-21s
17.8%
45
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Rochdale
4-0
Liverpool U21s
Kelly (33'), O'Keeffe (50' pen., 72'), Andrews (78')