Salford City
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium

Salford City
2 - 1
Liverpool U21s

Berkoe (45'), Jenkins (59')
O'Brien (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stewart (88')
Quansah (18')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Salford City and Liverpool Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 76.96%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 9.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.22%), while for a Liverpool Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawLiverpool Under-21s
76.96% (0.864 0.86)13.85% (-0.386 -0.39)9.19% (-0.479 -0.48)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.494 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.34% (0.361 0.36)28.66% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.44% (0.444 0.44)49.56% (-0.445 -0.45)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.93% (0.232 0.23)6.07% (-0.2331 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.92% (0.649 0.65)23.08% (-0.649 -0.65)
Liverpool Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.99% (-0.672 -0.67)41.01% (0.671 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (-0.604 -0.6)77.57% (0.604 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 76.96%
    Liverpool Under-21s 9.19%
    Draw 13.85%
Salford CityDrawLiverpool Under-21s
2-0 @ 9.77% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 9.13% (0.176 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 8.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.97% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 6.39% (0.208 0.21)
4-1 @ 5.7% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 3.58% (0.163 0.16)
5-1 @ 3.19% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.67% (0.098 0.1)
6-1 @ 1.49% (0.061 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.42% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 76.96%
1-1 @ 6.22% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-0 @ 2.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 13.85%
1-2 @ 2.77% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-1 @ 2.22% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 0.99% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 9.19%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!