League Two

League Two | Gameweek 10

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Guy (45'), Dennis (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Assal (59')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Sutton United	8	0	11
13	Carlisle United	7	1	10
14	Walsall	8	2	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
47.7% ( 0.07)	26.83% ( 0.05)	25.47% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 46.94% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69% (

-0.26)

57.3% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.86% (

-0.21)

78.14% (

0.2)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93% (

-0.08)

24.06% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66% (

-0.11)

58.34% (

0.11)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.82% (

-0.25)

38.18% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.05% (

-0.24)

74.94% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 47.69%

AFC Wimbledon 25.47%

Draw 26.83%

Carlisle United	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.69%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 25.47%