EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 2
Crawley

Hudlin (29' pen.), Assal (75'), Frimpong (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Powell (59'), Frimpong (90+6' og.)

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Newport County	9	-4	7
20	Crawley Town	9	-5	6
21	Colchester United	9	-6	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Crawley Town
42.57% ( -0)	25.81% ( -0)	31.63% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.8% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

50.26% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

72.21% (

-0)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54%

23.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.53%

57.47% (

-0)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28% (

29.72% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22% (

65.78% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 42.56%

Crawley Town 31.63%

Draw 25.8%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2% Total : 42.56%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.63%