League Two

League Two | Gameweek 10

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 0
Crawley

Baker-Richardson (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Crewe
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Grimsby Town	7	2	12
10	Crewe Alexandra	8	1	12
11	Swindon Town	8	1	11

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Crawley 3-2 Stockport
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	8	-5	7
20	Crawley Town	8	-4	6
21	Colchester United	8	-5	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Crawley Town
36.09% ( -0.49)	25.76% ( 0.07)	38.14% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 55.02% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.85% (

-0.31)

49.15% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.78% (

-0.28)

71.22% (

0.28)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

-0.42)

26.39% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.45% (

-0.57)

61.55% (

0.57)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

0.09)

25.24% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

0.13)

60% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 36.09%

Crawley Town 38.14%

Draw 25.76%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.09%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.14%