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Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
Crewe Alexandra

Hartlepool
1 - 1
Crewe

Umerah (33' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Agyei (86')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
38.97%27.63%33.4%
Both teams to score 48.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.91%57.08% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.03%77.96% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72%64.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03%31.97% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57%68.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 38.96%
    Crewe Alexandra 33.4%
    Draw 27.63%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.96%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 33.4%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 7pm
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Hartlepool
4-0
Crewe
Alessandra (45', 85'), Amond (71'), Thomas (91')
Thomas (84'), Oates (88')

Bakayogo (69'), Nugent (86')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
Crewe
3-3
Hartlepool
Dagnall (31'), Kiwomya (45'), Cooper (56')
Guthrie (92')
Magnay (42', 76'), Amond (72')
Feb 26, 2013 7.45pm
Hartlepool
3-0
Crewe
Franks (40'), Wyke (27'), Monkhouse (90')
Poole (45')
Oct 6, 2012 3pm
Crewe
2-1
Hartlepool
Ellis (70'), Aneke (45')
Horwood (9')
Murray (20'), Howard (39'), Hartley (40')
rhs 2.0


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