EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
4 - 1
Crewe

Bakayoko (5'), Charles (78', 89'), Sadlier (86')
Aimson (26')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Baker-Richardson (16')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Bolton Wanderers and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Exeter City	6	4	8
10	Bolton Wanderers	6	0	8
11	Accrington Stanley	5	1	7

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Northampton Town	6	2	11
7	Crewe Alexandra	6	2	11
8	Mansfield Town	6	1	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
58.71% ( -0.01)	21.82% ( -0)	19.47% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.64% (

0.02)

43.36% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.24% (

0.02)

65.76% (

-0.02)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.55% (

0.01)

14.45% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.6% (

0.01)

42.4% (

-0)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.91% (

0.03)

36.09% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.13% (

0.03)

72.87% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 58.7%

Crewe Alexandra 19.47%

Draw 21.82%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.41% 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.7%	1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.82%	0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 19.47%