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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 39.71% ( | 27.75% ( | 32.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.34% ( | 57.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.58% ( | 78.42% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( | 28.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.91% ( | 64.09% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( | 32.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.59% ( | 69.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% ( 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0-0 @ 9.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.59% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.54% |