League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 1pm UK

Victoria Park

Hartlepool
1 - 3
Bradford

Ferguson (17')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Banks (6'), Cook (65', 90+2')
Smallwood (45+2'), Banks (54')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Bradford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

Last Six:

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Tranmere
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Gillingham	4	-6	3
21	Hartlepool United	4	-5	2
22	Crawley Town	4	-3	1

Bradford City

Last Six:

Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Bradford
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Tranmere Rovers	4	1	4
15	Bradford City	4	0	4
16	Colchester United	4	-1	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Bradford City
31.08% ( -0.66)	28.17% ( -0.46)	40.75% ( 1.11)

Both teams to score 46.46% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.48% (

1.42)

59.52% (

-1.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.13% (

1.08)

79.87% (

-1.08)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.13% (

0.28)

34.87% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.39% (

0.29)

71.61% (

-0.29)

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.34% (

1.33)

28.66% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.52% (

1.63)

64.48% (

-1.63)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 31.07%

Bradford City 40.75%

Draw 28.16%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Bradford City
1-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.17% Total : 31.07%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.67% Total : 40.75%