League Two

League Two | Gameweek 7

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 2
Stevenage

McDonald (27')
King (41'), Thomas (76'), Baker-Richardson (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reid (48', 67')
Sweeney (37'), Reeves (85')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Stevenage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:

Last Game: Bolton 4-1 Crewe
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Northampton Town	6	2	11
7	Crewe Alexandra	6	2	11
8	Mansfield Town	6	1	9

Stevenage

Last Six:

Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Stevenage
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Salford City	6	6	13
5	Stevenage	6	3	13
6	Northampton Town	6	2	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Stevenage
30.56% ( -0.51)	26.99% ( -0.57)	42.45% ( 1.08)

Both teams to score 49.68% (

1.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.65% (

1.97)

55.35% (

-1.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.44% (

1.59)

76.56% (

-1.59)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.94% (

0.66)

33.05% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.35% (

0.72)

69.65% (

-0.72)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

1.48)

25.78% (

-1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.27% (

1.97)

60.73% (

-1.97)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 30.56%

Stevenage 42.45%

Draw 26.98%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.56%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.45%