Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.