League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
4 - 0
Lincoln

Marriott (21', 50'), Clarke-Harris (29' pen., 43')
Kent (35')

FT(HT: 3-0)

O'Connor (28'), Garrick (40')

Coverage of the League One clash between Peterborough United and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

Last Six:

Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ipswich Town	4	5	10
2	Peterborough United	4	4	9
3	Portsmouth	4	5	8

Lincoln City

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Bristol Rovers	4	1	6
11	Lincoln City	4	1	6
12	Plymouth Argyle	4	-2	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Lincoln City
47.95% ( 4.92)	25.63% ( -0.62)	26.41% ( -4.3)

Both teams to score 51.17% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.81% (

0.21)

52.18% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.1% (

0.18)

73.89% (

-0.18)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.23% (

2.39)

21.77% (

-2.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.04% (

3.52)

54.96% (

-3.53)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41% (

-3.16)

34.58% (

3.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69% (

-3.51)

71.3% (

3.51)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 47.94%

Lincoln City 26.41%

Draw 25.62%

Peterborough United	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 1.09) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.53) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.82) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.31) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.41) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.94%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.76) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.84) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.5) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.46) Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.41%