EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
2 - 2
Portsmouth

Telford (8' pen.), Bremang (90+5' pen.)
Wells (16')

FT
(aet)

Robertson (74'), Scarlett (81')
Jacobs (57'), Hackett-Fairchild (90+4')

Crawley win 6-5 on penalties

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crawley Town and Portsmouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Crawley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Gillingham	6	-7	4
22	Crawley Town	6	-5	2
23	Hartlepool United	6	-9	2

Portsmouth

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portsmouth	6	8	14
2	Ipswich Town	6	8	14
3	Sheffield Wednesday	6	7	13

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%).

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Portsmouth
30.31% ( 0.87)	25.44% ( 0.66)	44.25% ( -1.53)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

-1.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.77% (

-2.44)

49.23% (

2.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.71% (

-2.24)

71.29% (

2.25)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.9% (

-0.63)

30.1% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.77% (

-0.77)

66.23% (

0.77)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79% (

-1.7)

22.21% (

1.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.37% (

-2.63)

55.63% (

2.64)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 30.31%

Portsmouth 44.24%

Draw 25.44%

Crawley Town	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.2% Total : 30.31%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.28% Total : 44.24%