EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
3 - 2
Portsmouth

Evans (14'), Wildig (49'), Waite (74')
Willmott (81'), Evans (87'), Drysdale (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Curtis (9', 25')
Raggett (69'), Mingi (84'), Curtis (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newport County and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Colchester United	5	-3	4
19	Newport County	5	-3	4
20	Gillingham	5	-6	4

Portsmouth

Last Six:

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Peterborough United	5	8	12
3	Portsmouth	5	7	11
4	Sheffield Wednesday	5	2	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Portsmouth
41.47% ( 0.03)	26.73% ( -0)	31.81% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.97% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.06% (

-0)

53.94% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.61% (

-0)

75.39% (

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

0.01)

25.65% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45% (

0.02)

60.55% (

-0.02)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.55% (

-0.02)

31.45% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.17% (

-0.02)

67.83% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Newport County 41.46%

Portsmouth 31.81%

Draw 26.72%

Newport County	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.46%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.81%