EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
0 - 3
Portsmouth

Nelson (7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pigott (58'), Curtis (68' pen.), Bishop (72')
Mingi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cardiff City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

Last Six:

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Cardiff
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Queens Park Rangers	2	0	3
9	Cardiff City	2	0	3
10	Millwall	2	0	3

Portsmouth

Last Six:

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Port Vale	2	-3	3
18	Portsmouth	2	0	2
19	Lincoln City	2	0	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Portsmouth
32.69% ( -0.02)	25.31% ( 0)	42% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.85% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.22% (

-0.01)

47.78% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

-0.01)

69.97% (

0.01)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2% (

-0.01)

27.8% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.62% (

-0.02)

63.38% (

0.02)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34% (

0.01)

22.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.71% (

0.01)

56.29% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 32.69%

Portsmouth 42%

Draw 25.31%

Cardiff City	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.69%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.22% Total : 42%