Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.