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Nathan Moriah-Welsh
29'
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Omar Bogle
38'
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James Clarke
82'
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Aaron Lewis
23'
(OG)
Newport County vs Tranmere Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result
Newport County
41.8%
▼
(-2.12)
Draw
28.18%
▲
(+1.32)
Tranmere Rovers
30.01%
▲
(+0.80)
Both Teams to Score:
46.03%
▼
(-3.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.13%
▼
(-4.45)
Under 2.5
59.87%
▲
(+4.45)
Over 3.5
19.86%
▼
(-3.53)
Under 3.5
80.13%
▲
(+3.53)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
71.76%
▼
(-3.18)
Under 0.5
28.24%
▲
(+3.18)
Over 1.5
36.05%
▼
(-4.20)
Under 1.5
63.94%
▲
(+4.20)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5
64.14%
▼
(-1.77)
Under 0.5
35.86%
▲
(+1.77)
Over 1.5
27.37%
▼
(-1.86)
Under 1.5
72.63%
▲
(+1.86)
Score analysis
Newport County
41.8%
Draw
28.18%
Tranmere Rovers
30.01%
Newport County
1-0
@
12.8%
▲
(+0.99)
2-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.51)
2-0 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.57)
3-0 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.37)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.40)
4-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.30)
4-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 41.8%
2-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.51)
2-0 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.57)
3-0 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.37)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.40)
4-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.30)
4-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 41.8%
Draw
1-1
@
13.13%
▲
(+0.42)
0-0 @ 10.12% ▲ (+1.58)
2-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.48)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.18%
0-0 @ 10.12% ▲ (+1.58)
2-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.48)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.18%
Tranmere Rovers
0-1
@
10.38%
▲
(+1.19)
1-2 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.38)
1-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 30.01%
1-2 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.38)
1-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 30.01%
Paul Lewis
52'