League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth3 - 1Bristol Rovers
Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Bristol Rovers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Peterborough United | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Portsmouth | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Bolton Wanderers | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Barnsley | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Lincoln City | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
57.24% ( 3.03) | 22.74% ( -0.52) | 20.02% ( -2.51) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
